(This is not Turtle Trader or Trend Following blog. All stock and strategy mentioned in this blog do not represent buy or sell. This is my digital diary to express my thoughts and opinions about the world of investing. Ultimately, you will be responsible for your own decision. Please consult your investment adviser before taking any investment position).
Thursday, April 5, 2012
China Real Estate Surplus Situation
The real estate housing construction in China has always been outpaced sales. Three years inventory seems to be a norm but now has inched up to 4. The good news is growth rate peaked two years ago.
I tilt my take more on soft landing rather than hard landing as its contribution to overall Chinese economy is still small 12% of GDP, continued demand for housing, strong holding power of retail investors and the most important of all, the Chinese government has taken many measures to shake out excesses slowly.
I believe the Chinese market is one of the cheapest now.............
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