Tuesday, December 9, 2008

A Bull run technically ?

My post today is trying to provoke our thoughts so that we all don't have to think with one track minds. I sometimes use this half-full glass technique to keep myself out of trouble especially we are reading too many the end of the world stories. The word BULL almost disappear in a dictionary of many. Let's see what you can get out of this.

(1) Dow Jones Industrial Average / Closing

Nov 20, 08 / 7,552
Dec 08, 08 / 8,934

Change = + 18 %

A definition of a bull run is + 20 % from a low. That is just 2% away to fit that definition.

(2) Hang Seng Index / Closing

Oct 27, 08 / 11,015
Oct 31, 08 / 14,329

Change + 30%

Dec 08, 08 / 15,044
Change ( Oct 27 to Dec 08) + 37%

It has never pulled back more than 20% after the rebound. Technically, the bull run has started in Hong Kong market.

Whether this is a whimper-bull or macho-bull, is a different story.

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